96% vs 98% AFUE Furnace: Is the Upgrade Worth It in Minnesota?
What AFUE measures, the gas math from 80% to 96% to 98% using your own bill, and what a 98% furnace really buys you in a cold Minnesota house.
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A furnace replacement in Roseville costs $4,500–$9,500 installed with us, with 80% AFUE units around $4,500–$6,000 and 96–98% condensing units around $6,500–$9,500. Xcel Energy supplies gas across the city and runs rebates on high-efficiency gas furnaces. Quotes are written, flat-rate and sized with a Manual J.
A 96–98% furnace often solves the finished-basement problem in a Roseville rambler, because it's sealed combustion: it takes its air from outside through PVC and no longer depends on the furnace room's door. The tricky part is getting two PVC pipes and a condensate drain out of a finished basement without tearing into ceilings, which usually means the shortest route to a rim joist and a termination that clears the snow and the nearest window. Once the furnace leaves the old chimney, the water heater in it needs a liner or a power-vent model.
Sizing deserves attention too. Many of these houses have added insulation and windows since the 1950s, and the furnaces that replaced the originals were often sized to match them rather than the house as it is now. A Manual J usually lands smaller. Xcel's rebates on high-efficiency gas furnaces are one option, though some Xcel measures need a participating contractor, so check. Permitting with the city is part of the price.
Updated September 23, 2026
An installed furnace from us runs about $4,500–$9,500 in Roseville: 80% AFUE roughly $4,500–$6,000, 96–98% AFUE roughly $6,500–$9,500. Same prices in Roseville as in every town we serve. See the furnace replacement cost guide. For what drives a quote locally, see HVAC cost in Roseville.
Xcel Energy supplies Roseville's gas and electricity, so a furnace, AC or heat pump project runs through one utility's programs. For the dual-fuel setups that suit many Roseville ramblers, Xcel lists rebates for standard and cold-climate air-source heat pumps and a bonus when insulation work comes before the heat pump. Its heat pump rebates are paid through Trade Partner Network contractors, so ask about that before you sign. Gas furnace rebates are a separate Xcel program with their own requirements. Rebate programs change every year, so check the utility's current terms before you buy.
Our guides: Xcel and CenterPoint rebates, heat pump rebates.

More detail on our furnace installation page.
We look for the shortest path from the furnace room to an outside wall, usually straight through the rim joist above the foundation. If the furnace room isn't on an outside wall, the pipes can run in a boxed soffit along an unfinished edge or through a closet. The condensate drain goes to a floor drain or a pump. We plan the route during the quote visit, so the price already includes any patching.
It can. Xcel Energy's heating equipment rebate page points homeowners to participating contractors, and Xcel's rebate sheet marks some measures as requiring an Xcel-registered contractor. We don't claim that status, so check the current rules for the furnace you're buying before you count on the rebate. The old federal 25C tax credit ended for equipment placed in service after December 31, 2025, so it's no longer part of the math.
What AFUE measures, the gas math from 80% to 96% to 98% using your own bill, and what a 98% furnace really buys you in a cold Minnesota house.
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